<aside> <img src="/icons/reorder_gray.svg" alt="/icons/reorder_gray.svg" width="40px" /> 7:00 - 8:30 trade window / OB Sauce / DXY SMT / Last hour macro / FVG-BPR Sauce / CISD / 22 YouTube model /

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NWOG and NDOG are very influential levels and the algorithm will be repricing back to these levels because its offering Fair Value. What is Fair Value? This is an opportunity for market participants to trade at a level that the algorithm has deemed it as not favoured enough. Meaning that price didn’t trade long enough in a specific price range so that the participants can have enough time to trade.

Look how all the candles reacted to the NDOG. To the ticks.

✍ If we suspect that the market will be problematic for us, meaning that its either going to be hard to read, and we expect that because some news driver that would come later on or the next day, we can adapt the 7am to 8:30am and we want to trade pre-market. So before the 8:30 news driver comes, and we see something that we want to participate in and we like the market structure that’s in play at 7am into 8:30, we have no fear in getting in a trade and use the 8:30 to roll right into our targets.

LRLR vs HRLR. Both can be traded, but the first one offers much better characteristics. It easy to get in, you can trust it where it is going to go, it offers immediate gratification and it quickly gets to your targets.

💎 OB Sauce: Which OB do we use? We are using the last up close candle THAT IS AT the NWOG key level. There are more things than just the last up close candle before the drop. The sauce is where you are AT when that candle forms. Its not about the candle itself, it is where the market has changed the state of delivery. Once it starts to deliver Sell side and you have FVG, your eye goes to the opening price of the OB. When price retraces to the FVG, that’s your entry and it is possible that it will reach for the Opening price of the OB. If that happens you take another entry. Sometimes the market can just come inside the FVG and if you wait for OB entry it may run without you.

We don’t care what the data of the news event will be. We just expect the volatility that comes in the market place at that time. If we know that the day is going to be range bound consolidation or just choppy, than we do our business between 7am - 8:30am. And once volatility at 8:30 picks up and price runs to our Liquidity pool (or other target) we are done. We are not going to arm wrestle the market for the rest of the day. We don’t care what it does.

During the livestream ICT outlined how he knows that it will be choppy PA. He showed us on the Daily chart that we are in a large range consolidation

If ES,NQ,YM make LL, but DXY fails to make HH, that’s SMT as well. If the DXY is going up that’s RISK OFF and other assets will have more freedom to drop and also hard time to rally. If it moves lower that’s RISK ON, and other assets will have easy freedom to rally higher and hard time on the downside.

✍ The DXY failed to make a HH as we made that LL at 10:12. That LL was not met with HH on DXY. That’s DXY SMT.

✍A Symmetrical market is where, if we have LL on ES, NQ and also YM and HH on DXY. In a perfect world that’s what you would want to see. If at any time you see any of those crack the correlation, its telling you that there is sentiment shift unfolding.

You have to be able to measure these things in real time. If you want to be a day trader with precision and you want to be trading with institutional mindset these are the tools and concepts that they use.

This works because there is a shift in all of these algorithms. DXY, ES,NQ and YM run on an algorithm. They are running on the same algorithm, but each one has separate one. When they are manipulated, that crack is the signal “Now is the time”! 💎The market has to signal to that SM group that its time to get to work.

Breaker 💎 The candle with the highest up close before the move down.